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Turner College Economist Explores the Rise in One-Child Families in the U.S.

The forthcoming study on the rise of one-child families in the U.S. by Fady Mansour, a visiting assistant professor of economics in the Turner College, is the first to investigate the economic origins of the issue.  His study, which is set for future publication in the Journal of Family and Economic Issues, uses longitudinal data (1968-2013) from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to examine the effect of absolute income volatility on the decision of having an only-child family.  The results suggest that income volatility is associated with a decrease as large as 26 percentage points in the probability of having a second child for mothers who are in the second quartile of income distribution.  These results support implementation of public policies that reduce the economic insecurity of middle class mothers in the U.S. as these mothers have a higher tendency to limit their family size in response to greater income volatility.

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